- These studies were conducted in late April / early May, and so, if this same rate of non-reported cases of infection is similar, than we do have a much larger population that has encountered the virus.
- These studies show that the mortality rate is lower when looking at the total number of actual cases versus reported.
- They do not know for sure that the presence of antibodies means the people are actually immune.
- The issue of asymptomatic people spreading the virus is a concern, so precautions like mask wearing and social distancing still must be in place. Protection of high risk populations is also a must.
It is unfortunate that we do not have more information regarding actual rate of infection. Knowing this would allow better decision making. This could impact school and business operations.
However, mitigation strategies are still important. Even though a larger percentage of the population may be infected than we know, there is even a larger percentage that has not been infected.
At this point, reporting negative cases of current infection tells us little. Not to say testing is not important, but reporting how many people tested negative is not as important as percent positives there are. Throw in the length of time it is taking to get results back, in same cases 3 to 7 days...or even longer, then the benefit of testing drops, and the reporting becomes less meaningful.
Have you already been infected?
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6929e1.htm
Population Point Prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 Infection Based on a Statewide Random Sample — Indiana, April 25–29, 2020
Early Release / July 21, 2020 / 69